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Monday, March 27, 2023
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2 best bets for Thursday’s game

Short weeks can be disastrous for injury riddled teams and that seems to be the case for the Tennessee Titans (+3) this Thursday night traveling to Lambeau Field. The Titans will be missing Center Ben Jones and Safety Amani Hooker. It will be a high of 29 degrees, but likely closer to 23 at the time of kickoff when the Packers take the field. Aaron Rodgers is coming off a much-needed bounce back performance against the Cowboys, while the Titans secured a 17-10 win over the Denver Broncos. The O/U is set at 41 so touchdowns will be hard to come by in this one.

Check out our full game analysis here.

AJ Dillon Over 33.5 rushing yards (-120)

Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.

There is a large disparity between AJ Dillon at home and on the road. In Green Bay, Dillon is seeing +3.2 more rush attempts per game (12.8) and 54.8 yards per game. As the temperature drops at Lambeau Field, I see the Packers looking to pound the round a lot more and Dillon is the bruising back that teams won’t want to arm tackle when it gets to that below freezing mark. He has hit this number in 8 of 10 games this season and in 5 of 5 at home. The Titans are a very good team against the run, but this Packers offensive line in finally gaining cohesion with the unit of Baktiari, Jenkins, Myers, Runyan and Nijman. Last week against the Cowboys it as the first time all year they had their preferred starters start and finish a game. It was also their best performance of the season. I’m all in on Dillon this Thursday. 1.5U

Derrick Henry, RB, TEN Over 11.5 receiving yards (-115)

Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.

Henry’s reception line is heavily juiced (-175) in favor of over 1.5 receptions. When he has seen 2+ receptions in a game, he has hit this line in 4 of 5 games. As far as the receptions, themselves, he has made 2+ catches in 5 of 7 games with Ryan Tannehill under center. Defensively, the Packers are allowing 7.84 yards per reception to opposing RBs and Henry is on pace for the best receiving season in his career — both in yards and receptions. This is 0.5U.

Same Game Parlay +394

Aaron Rodgers 225+ passing yards

AJ Dillon 25+ rushing yards

Green Bay Packers money line

Under 49.5

Anytime Touchdown Scorers

AJ Dillion +160

Treylon Burks +425

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