The final weeks of college football are upon us, which means there will be nothing but broken hearted fanbases, playoff hopes crashed, and of course a ton of money to win.
Welcome to the sixth and hopefully best edition of “Borba’s Bets”. My weekly segment where I search for the four best bets across the college football landscape, and put together what I hope are some winners. If you have been following Borba’s Bets you would know that I am good for getting at least half correct, as I hold a record of 10-10.
Last week I had my worst week yet as the only team that came through for me was Navy. I am still on the quest for my first perfect week, and certainly need a bounce back after gong 1-of-4 last week.
With that being said, let’s see how well we do on the latest edition of Borba’s Bets!
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#7 USC vs. #16 UCLA
The battle of Los Angeles likely hasn’t had higher stakes for both teams at the same time in the lifetime of any of the players currently on the roster. USC is fighting for a chance to make it to the College Football Playoff, while UCLA is looking to hold onto their chance to make the Pac-12 Championship. These teams are home to two extremely high power offenses that make up for the units they call a defense. Yes I am aware that USC leads the country in turnovers forced, but Dorian Thompson-Robinson has greatly improved his decision making and is completing over 70% of his passes. The same can be said for Caleb Williams who I think is the best quarterback in the country. I think this game will be an absolute shootout and hit the over.
Bet: Over 76.5
#4 TCU vs. Baylor
TCU has already secured their spot in the Big 12 Championship, but their sights are set on making the College Football Playoff. The best and probably only way to to do that for them is to win out. The national media seems skeptical about the Frogs, but I am confident that they can escape the regular season unblemished. I do however think this game against Baylor will be a lot closer than the Horned Frogs would like. TCU has an explosive offense, but they play in very close games. I think they cover here, but again it will not be a comfy margin by any means.
Bet: TCU -2
Western Kentucky vs. Auburn
The line for this game seems straight up disrespectful. The Tigers, while they aren’t a very good team are still much more physical than the Hilltoppers. Western Kentucky is 8-3 against the spread, but that is mainly because they have been able to beat up on some of the worst teams in college football. I think Tanks Bigsby will run all over them and help the Tigers cover.
Bet: Auburn -5.5
Illinois vs. #3 Michigan
Illinois was a long time member of the top-25, but two straight losses to inferior opponents ruined that achievement for them. They are looking to bounce back, while Michigan needs to win out in order to make the playoff. However, their game against No. 2 Ohio State is next week, meaning this game against Illinois has the makings of a trap game. The weather is expected to be in the 20s at game time, and combine that with the fact that the Illini rank No. 3 in the country with just 12.5 PPG allowed, and the offense struggles to put points up at just 24.7 PPG (89th). This combination along with Michigan’s stout defense, specifically against the run, leads me to believe there won’t be much scoring. At least to start the game.
Bet: Under 21 (First Half)