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Monday, December 5, 2022
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Dow Jones Futures: Market Rally Retreats, Tesla, Home Depot, CrowdStrike Hit, But Not This Sector

Dow Jones futures were little changed Tuesday night, along with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures. The stock market rally suffered broad losses Tuesday, with the major indexes and leading stocks falling as overall breadth deteriorated. Tesla stock, Home Depot (HD) and CrowdStrike (CRWD) tested or broke key levels as related names also came under pressure.


Early Wednesday, Target (TGT) headlines key earnings, along with Lowe’s (LOW), Children’s Place (PLCE), TJX Cos. (TJX) and Analog Devices (ADI).

A weak retail sales report, Home Depot earnings, geopolitical concerns stemming from Afghanistan, and more China pressure on tech firms weighed on stocks Tuesday.

The Nasdaq fell to its 10-week moving average. But this wasn’t just about techs.

The July retail sales report weighed on many consumer names on Tuesday, but several sectors were hard hit.

One exception is the broad medical sector. Dexcom (DXCM), UnitedHealth (UNH), HCA Healthcare (HCA), InMode (INMD), Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), Idexx Laboratories (IDXX) and Zoetis (ZTS) are holding up well or advancing. Many of those are actionable or nearly so.

The video embedded in this article analyzes CRWD stock, Idexx Labs and Copart, as well as the market action.

Dow Jones Futures Today

Dow Jones futures edged up vs. fair value. S&P 500 futures rose about 0.1%. Nasdaq 100 futures tilted higher.

Remember that overnight action in Dow futures and elsewhere doesn’t necessarily translate into actual trading in the next regular stock market session.

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Tesla, Auto Sector Hit

Auto sales fell sharply, the latest evidence that potential buyers are turned off by soaring prices. That’s a bad sign for automakers from Tesla (TSLA) to General Motors (GM). The news also hit auto dealerships such as AutoNation (AN).

Tesla stock fell 3% to 665.71 on Tuesday, but rallied off lows to close just above its 50-day and 200-day lines. On Monday, TSLA stock slumped 4.3%, undercutting a 700.10 early entry, as the NHTSA announced a new Autopilot probe with new language suggesting the agency is stepping up oversight. On Thursday, Tesla is holding an AI Day event.

GM stock lost 4.7% on Tuesday. The stock is below its 200-day line and at its worst levels since February. AutoNation sank 6.3%, erasing Monday’s bullish bounce.

Auto price shock should be good news for salvage operator Copart (CPRT) and retailers such as Advance Auto Parts (AAP), but they also retreated on Tuesday. CPRT stock did find support at its 50-day line, setting up a possible buying opportunity. Copart is the IBD Stock Of The Day.

Home Depot, Retail Sales Hammer Housing

The retail sales report showed spending on home improvement and furniture weakened. A separate homebuilder optimism index declined. Finally, Home Depot’s U.S. same-store sales missed as the number of customers declined.

Home Depot stock gapped down 4.3% to 320.75, tumbling below a cup-with-handle buy point of 333.55 and a fraction below its 50-day line.

Meanwhile, upscale home furnishings retailer RH (RH) sank 3.8% to 688.03, below its 50-day line and 5% below a 724.11 buy point. Floor & Decor (FND), which broke out on July 20, is close to round-tripping a 17% gain, tumbling 4.35% to 112.58. That’s just above the 109.95 buy point and the 50-day line. Lennar (LEN) slumped 3.85%, falling back below its buy point, according to MarketSmith analysis.

CrowdStrike, Software Slump

CRWD stock dipped 0.8% to 232.80. That’s far below the 251.38 official buy point, with the 50-day line just below that entry. At the 227.25 intraday low, shares round-tripped a 20% gain from the early entry of 227.30. Meanwhile, DocuSign (DOCU) and Shopify (SHOP) are fighting for support at their 50-day lines.

But steelmakers sold off hard again after soaring last week. Materials and mining stocks struggled. Industrials, which rebounded bullishly Monday, struggled Tuesday. Financials also retreated, though generally were pulling back in an orderly fashion.

Walmart (WMT) was essentially unchanged after its earnings Tuesday, but several other discounters retreated. TGT stock fell 3.2%, testing its 10-week line for the first time in nearly three months.

Chip stocks, which have been under pressure for several days, continued to struggle. Nvidia earnings are due Wednesday night and Applied Materials (AMAT) on Thursday.

Tesla stock and InMode are on IBD Leaderboard. Copart and IDXX stock are on IBD Long-Term Leaders. INMD stock is on the IBD 50.

Join IBD experts as they analyze actionable stocks in the stock market rally on IBD Live

Stock Market Rally Tuesday

The stock market rally had a rough session, falling in higher volume, though the major indexes did close significantly off lows.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average sank 0.8% in Tuesday’s stock market trading. The S&P 500 index gave up 0.7%. The Nasdaq composite retreated 0.9%. The small-cap Russell 2000 sank 1.2%

Among the best ETFs, Innovator IBD 50 (FFTY) gave up 1%, while the Innovator IBD Breakout Opportunities ETF (BOUT) retreated 2%. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) dipped 0.7%. The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) skidded 1.9%.

The SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) fell 2.8% as miners continued to retreat and steel stocks gave up some of their recent gains. Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development (PAVE) sank 1.6%. U.S. Global Jets (JETS) retreated 2.25%. SPDR S&P Homebuilders (XHB) slumped 3.2%, with RH, Lennar and Home Depot stock all key components. The Energy Select SPDR ETF (XLE) slipped 1%, and the Financial Select SPDR ETF (XLF) dipped 0.7%.

The Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV) rose 1.2% to a new high. UNH stock is a major component, but XLV also holds Dexcom, Idexx Labs, Zoetis and Intuitive Surgical.

Reflecting more-speculative story stocks, ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) fell 0.9% and ARK Genomics ETF (ARKG) shed 0.6%, not too bad but extending recent slides. Tesla remains the No. 1 holding across ARK Invest’s ETFs.

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Market Rally Analysis

The stock market rally didn’t offer many places to hide on Tuesday. Retail, housing, auto, commodity and industrial sectors were hit Tuesday, while growth continues to come under pressure.

Market breadth is woeful. The advance/decline line has undercut mid-July lows, sitting at its worst level since early January. The Russell 2000, which bounced off its 200-day line in mid-July but then hit resistance at its 50-day line, is testing its 200-day once again.

What’s holding up? Many medical names look healthy. Dow Jones giant UnitedHealth is just below a buy point, but UNH stock has struggled to outperform the S&P 500 for a few years. HCA stock is consolidating in recent weeks after gapping out of a base on earnings last month. InMode, Idexx Labs and Zoetis are finding support at their 50-day/10-week lines.

Meanwhile, shipping stocks are looking interesting again, while Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft (MSFT) are right at record highs.

The major indexes still look OK. The Dow Jones and S&P 500 found support at their 21-day exponential moving averages and are just below record highs. The Nasdaq composite found support at its 50-day line but isn’t far off all-time levels. This modest pullback — as opposed to the choppy, sideways action at highs in prior weeks — has the potential to form proper handles and bases.

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What To Do Now

So in a few weeks, a number of new buying opportunities could develop. But right now, investors probably are seeing a lot of red in their portfolios.

Definitely get rid of stocks that are round-tripping double-digit gains or following noticeably below your purchase price.

It’s possible that, say, Tesla stock, RH or Shopify (SHOP) will find support at these levels and we’ll look back and see this moment as a great buying opportunity for the bold. But others may fall further, the way CRWD stock broke through its 50-day line.

Holding on to a stock in hopes it’ll rebound also has an opportunity cost. You might hold on to a loser or laggard rather than selling now and buying a leading stock in the near future.

Consider your strategy for winning stocks in the current market rally environment. Do you take quick profits on winners or try to hold for bigger gains, knowing a stock could cede significant gains before revving higher — or wipe them out? It doesn’t have to be all or nothing. You could decide to take partial profits at 10% or 15% and try to hold the rest.

Read The Big Picture every day to stay in sync with the market direction and leading stocks and sectors.

Please follow Ed Carson on Twitter at @IBD_ECarson for stock market updates and more.


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