investors weigh Fed interest rate outlook


U.S. Treasury yields were little changed Friday as investors weighed comments from Federal Reserve officials on the outlook for interest rate policy and assessed the state of the economy.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury was flat at 3.652%. The 2-year Treasury was trading at 4.259% after declining by close 1 basis point.

Yields and prices have an inverted relationship and one basis point equals 0.01%.

Investors looked to remarks from Fed speakers for hints about monetary policy and assessed how that may affect the economy.

On Thursday, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said she did not believe halting interest rate hikes was justified based on recent economic data. Speaking to bankers in San Antonio, she said progress had been made but upcoming economic reports such as fresh employment and inflation figures would be crucial to the Fed’s next rate decision.

That echoed the tone of some central bank officials who hinted earlier in the week that more needed to be done to bring inflation closer to the Fed’s target range. Others, however, appeared more cautious, including Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, who told CNBC on Tuesday that the effect of higher rates is not being felt to its full extent yet.

Following its last rate-setting meeting earlier this month, the central bank had hinted that an end to its rate-hiking campaign could be imminent. Many investors welcomed the idea as concerns about elevated rates dragging the economy into a recession have spread.

More Fed speakers, including Chairman Jerome Powell, are due to speak Friday.

Meanwhile, fears about the U.S. defaulting on its debt were somewhat calmed as progress appeared to be made in debt ceiling deal negotiations. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy suggested Thursday that a resolution may be found as soon as next week.